jdmetz's TCO 2006 Odds for before Round 4

These odds are the result of simulating the TCO 1000000 times.

SeedHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $Round4 $OnsiteOnsite $Semi1Semi2Semi3WildcardFinal4th3rd2nd1stHandle
1misof 3359 268$ 7958.32$157.4699.97%$7800.861.37%98.60%0.00%23.80%90.17%13.44%19.87%24.79%18.93%misof
2SnapDragon 3296 265$ 6188.65$141.5999.94%$6047.070.00%1.40%98.54%36.33%82.54%14.45%18.90%19.70%12.39%SnapDragon
3tomek 3516 494$10619.54$173.3598.63%$10446.1998.63%0.00%0.00%16.98%87.80%7.77%10.21%14.74%40.17%tomek
4Petr 3278 346$ 5787.28$134.6299.29%$5652.660.00%0.00%99.29%36.44%76.66%12.68%14.59%15.72%13.39%Petr
6Eryx 2982 295$ 1455.84$64.5496.92%$1391.3096.79%0.12%0.00%52.21%35.95%6.04%4.19%2.51%1.05%Eryx
7krijgertje 2924 405$ 1349.33$63.5389.02%$1285.801.39%18.98%68.65%39.86%29.14%3.78%2.91%2.28%1.47%krijgertje
8ploh 2995 284$ 1515.29$66.5397.66%$1448.750.00%95.55%2.11%55.19%37.20%6.46%4.57%2.73%1.07%ploh
9John Dethridge 2986 259$ 1358.70$62.1098.37%$1296.6094.00%4.32%0.06%57.56%35.10%6.32%4.05%2.12%0.73%John Dethridge
10marek.cygan 2727 481$ 724.84$42.6173.43%$682.233.81%22.67%46.95%24.84%14.28%1.30%0.99%0.75%0.50%marek.cygan
11Per 2875 489$ 1288.67$62.8882.08%$1225.790.17%2.99%78.92%31.13%25.60%2.83%2.37%2.10%1.73%Per
12ivan_metelsky 2740 358$ 603.21$31.6780.94%$571.5411.37%22.74%46.83%32.08%10.67%1.04%0.62%0.33%0.14%ivan_metelsky
13bladerunner 2852 389$ 983.85$50.3186.27%$933.540.03%48.94%37.30%37.81%21.53%2.58%1.85%1.26%0.73%bladerunner
14rem 2947 507$ 1816.51$75.1184.84%$1741.397.61%77.23%0.00%30.18%34.71%3.98%3.52%3.36%3.15%rem
15kalinov 2821 372$ 847.25$44.0685.54%$803.1969.33%13.28%2.92%36.06%18.88%2.10%1.42%0.90%0.44%kalinov
16reid 2789 496$ 956.45$51.5976.75%$904.8645.97%30.20%0.58%26.01%20.03%1.96%1.52%1.27%0.99%reid
17AdrianKuegel 2643 294$ 435.62$15.0976.85%$420.5413.98%25.56%37.31%24.92%3.56%0.23%0.10%0.03%0.01%AdrianKuegel
18Yarin 2696 486$ 663.01$39.6271.00%$623.3932.02%23.17%15.82%22.33%13.04%1.13%0.81%0.61%0.41%Yarin
19andrewzta 2765 394$ 712.14$38.6780.43%$673.4726.18%33.10%21.15%31.19%14.60%1.49%0.97%0.61%0.31%andrewzta
20dgarthur 2837 385$ 927.82$47.7485.62%$880.0841.11%33.10%11.41%36.12%20.76%2.43%1.70%1.12%0.60%dgarthur
21antimatter 2655 392$ 496.20$25.9971.96%$470.2032.35%24.62%14.99%23.23%7.83%0.61%0.37%0.20%0.09%antimatter
SeedHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $Round4 $OnsiteOnsite $Semi1Semi2Semi3WildcardFinal4th3rd2nd1stHandle
23gawry 2550 327$ 355.84$11.4864.66%$344.3522.33%21.54%20.80%15.73%2.20%0.10%0.05%0.02%0.00%gawry
24venco 2716 243$ 501.05$16.4888.11%$484.5612.09%32.14%43.88%36.53%4.36%0.34%0.13%0.04%0.01%venco
25pparys 2693 356$ 530.06$26.0277.22%$504.0442.08%25.53%9.60%27.61%8.46%0.71%0.40%0.21%0.08%pparys
26lovro 2592 354$ 399.07$16.7467.94%$382.3321.39%22.74%23.81%19.22%3.89%0.25%0.12%0.05%0.02%lovro
27ACRush 2696 514$ 700.96$42.1770.02%$658.7931.66%22.81%15.54%21.36%13.85%1.19%0.89%0.73%0.52%ACRush
28Andrew_Lazarev 2506 315$ 318.93$8.1959.87%$310.7320.97%19.95%18.94%12.13%1.31%0.05%0.02%0.01%0.00%Andrew_Lazarev
29grotmol 2511 316$ 322.08$8.4860.39%$313.6018.49%20.12%21.78%12.49%1.35%0.06%0.02%0.01%0.00%grotmol
29Zis 2585 299$ 383.81$11.3170.09%$372.5030.84%23.33%15.92%18.75%2.35%0.12%0.05%0.02%0.00%Zis
31nicka81 2550 271$ 354.31$7.2267.48%$347.0923.31%22.57%21.60%15.15%1.15%0.05%0.01%0.00%0.00%nicka81
34RalphFurmaniak 2650 361$ 468.51$22.2873.24%$446.2423.19%24.45%25.60%23.92%6.24%0.47%0.26%0.13%0.05%RalphFurmaniak
35WSX 2462 334$ 287.30$7.4354.08%$279.8720.69%18.01%15.37%9.67%1.09%0.04%0.02%0.01%0.00%WSX
36MikeMirzayanov 2452 379$ 288.29$10.0652.56%$278.2320.79%17.50%14.27%9.89%1.64%0.07%0.03%0.01%0.00%MikeMirzayanov
39embe 2440 245$ 263.85$2.3252.04%$261.5320.34%17.35%14.35%5.97%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%embe
41Ruberik 2583 407$ 413.05$20.8964.88%$392.1628.01%21.62%15.26%17.80%5.25%0.34%0.21%0.10%0.05%Ruberik
44daveagp 2435 454$ 298.01$14.7550.67%$283.2718.72%16.93%15.01%9.83%2.67%0.13%0.07%0.04%0.02%daveagp
45ardiankp 2587 379$ 403.94$18.6966.28%$385.2526.34%22.07%17.88%18.49%4.54%0.29%0.16%0.08%0.03%ardiankp
46haha 2605 511$ 514.03$32.7063.67%$481.3314.80%21.30%27.56%17.48%8.94%0.66%0.46%0.34%0.23%haha
47mathijs 2428 446$ 289.32$13.7750.02%$275.5517.06%16.65%16.31%9.50%2.37%0.11%0.05%0.03%0.01%mathijs
48evgeni 2319 381$ 202.72$5.1838.70%$197.5410.58%12.89%15.23%4.50%0.49%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%evgeni
49HiltonLange 2518 432$ 357.85$18.3158.43%$339.5415.53%19.50%23.40%13.74%3.88%0.22%0.12%0.07%0.03%HiltonLange
SeedHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $Round4 $OnsiteOnsite $Semi1Semi2Semi3WildcardFinal4th3rd2nd1stHandle
50bigg_nate 2393 273$ 228.31$2.3744.93%$225.9513.21%14.96%16.76%4.54%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%bigg_nate
52dmytro 2387 299$ 229.05$3.2344.76%$225.8212.82%14.87%17.07%5.06%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%dmytro
54liympanda 2345 295$ 198.53$2.2639.03%$196.2615.06%12.97%10.99%3.44%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%liympanda
57JongMan 2363 337$ 219.22$4.2842.34%$214.9414.05%14.11%14.18%5.04%0.40%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%JongMan
58Im2Good 2231 298$ 128.85$0.9525.52%$127.899.45%8.53%7.54%1.16%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Im2Good
59natori 2354 384$ 224.78$6.3842.44%$218.4014.84%14.16%13.44%5.71%0.74%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%natori
61kalmakka 2300 350$ 183.88$3.3635.71%$180.5210.60%11.94%13.16%3.39%0.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%kalmakka
61jdmetz 2261 358$ 164.38$2.8632.01%$161.5212.58%10.70%8.74%2.61%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%jdmetz
64Jasko 2329 317$ 193.17$2.7337.80%$190.4312.75%12.59%12.46%3.45%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Jasko
65Egor 2646 511$ 585.74$36.5466.61%$549.2014.10%21.94%30.57%19.38%10.81%0.86%0.61%0.49%0.33%Egor
66gevak 2524 433$ 362.42$18.8458.84%$343.5714.75%19.59%24.51%14.08%4.00%0.23%0.14%0.08%0.03%gevak
67kedaizd 2180 398$ 137.14$2.8326.61%$134.315.79%8.80%12.02%1.85%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%kedaizd
70cyfra 2338 338$ 204.00$3.7239.54%$200.2815.03%13.15%11.36%4.22%0.33%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%cyfra
71halyavin 2544 434$ 382.92$20.3260.66%$362.6016.15%20.22%24.28%15.19%4.62%0.28%0.17%0.09%0.05%halyavin
72jakubr 2329 327$ 195.67$3.0738.16%$192.6012.92%12.70%12.54%3.68%0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%jakubr
73Ying 2382 346$ 233.65$5.2044.74%$228.4513.18%14.97%16.59%5.93%0.56%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%Ying
76Ulan 2334 411$ 219.62$7.2641.01%$212.3514.95%13.73%12.32%5.53%0.85%0.03%0.01%0.00%0.00%Ulan
81battyone 2325 446$ 223.61$8.9340.81%$214.6812.10%13.57%15.14%5.70%1.13%0.04%0.02%0.01%0.00%battyone
82futo 2324 293$ 183.23$1.8536.12%$181.389.97%12.03%14.12%2.76%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%futo
87tjq 2276 337$ 166.43$2.4532.56%$163.9813.23%10.84%8.48%2.57%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%tjq
SeedHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $Round4 $OnsiteOnsite $Semi1Semi2Semi3WildcardFinal4th3rd2nd1stHandle
89gepa 2345 342$ 209.15$4.0240.43%$205.1315.38%13.48%11.56%4.55%0.38%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%gepa
91m00tz 2296 311$ 170.76$1.9533.60%$168.8110.67%11.19%11.73%2.55%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%m00tz
92fuwenjie 2384 416$ 251.19$9.4745.90%$241.7212.96%15.31%17.63%7.31%1.31%0.05%0.03%0.01%0.00%fuwenjie
93dvickrey 2218 194$ 71.94$0.0514.38%$71.895.05%4.81%4.52%0.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%dvickrey
94tomal 2279 369$ 177.24$3.6634.27%$173.5812.58%11.40%10.29%3.25%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%tomal
96hauser 2304 416$ 203.59$6.4738.23%$197.1210.78%12.73%14.72%4.67%0.69%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%hauser
99PaulJefferys 2283 344$ 172.35$2.7933.62%$169.5611.44%11.24%10.94%2.85%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%PaulJefferys
102OpenGL 2351 378$ 221.39$5.9641.99%$215.4315.41%14.05%12.54%5.52%0.66%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%OpenGL
110po 2276 314$ 160.01$1.7731.51%$158.2412.73%10.55%8.24%2.13%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%po
116dmks 2194 323$ 118.63$1.1223.44%$117.516.73%7.76%8.95%1.07%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%dmks
117BjarkeDahlEbert 2263 440$ 189.14$6.4435.38%$182.7015.00%11.81%8.57%4.05%0.67%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%BjarkeDahlEbert
129lapsedbird 2398 499$ 288.03$16.1447.61%$271.8914.95%15.88%16.78%8.74%2.79%0.13%0.08%0.05%0.03%lapsedbird
131vahem 2137 563$ 168.65$8.8830.22%$159.774.09%10.00%16.12%3.20%0.89%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%vahem
134sjelkjd 2367 479$ 259.88$12.9944.93%$246.8813.89%14.96%16.09%7.52%2.03%0.08%0.05%0.03%0.01%sjelkjd
139vvn 2159 368$ 118.43$1.7023.23%$116.734.33%7.66%11.25%1.23%0.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%vvn
140cryst 2276 376$ 177.78$3.8434.29%$173.9413.87%11.37%9.05%3.30%0.32%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%cryst
154athenachu71 2106 347$ 89.38$0.8517.67%$88.532.37%6.35%8.96%0.59%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%athenachu71
158Krzysan 2207 386$ 146.16$2.8828.38%$143.289.07%9.45%9.86%2.13%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Krzysan
160sql_lall 2191 307$ 111.67$0.8222.13%$110.855.66%7.30%9.17%0.86%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%sql_lall
175soul-net 2262 532$ 216.94$11.6937.72%$205.2515.65%12.60%9.47%5.16%1.55%0.05%0.03%0.02%0.01%soul-net
SeedHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $Round4 $OnsiteOnsite $Semi1Semi2Semi3WildcardFinal4th3rd2nd1stHandle
186wdtseng 2004 269$ 29.41$0.055.87%$29.362.17%2.39%1.31%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%wdtseng
191bus 2074 342$ 75.83$0.6115.03%$75.223.86%6.08%5.08%0.40%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%bus
195Crush 2094 339$ 82.00$0.6916.24%$81.302.90%6.23%7.11%0.46%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Crush
206Vintik 2128 461$ 134.82$4.1125.69%$130.713.22%8.88%13.60%1.99%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Vintik
210Vytenis 2011 363$ 63.54$0.5512.58%$62.984.38%5.15%3.05%0.28%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Vytenis
222qbolec 2128 396$ 114.82$2.0522.42%$112.772.80%7.66%11.95%1.22%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%qbolec
229lucab 2325 694$ 329.50$26.2644.01%$303.2412.97%14.68%16.36%7.44%4.74%0.23%0.18%0.15%0.14%lucab
241konqueror 1906 448$ 61.94$1.0812.13%$60.868.86%2.93%0.34%0.35%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%konqueror
270mastodonth 2103 459$ 124.79$3.5323.92%$121.263.73%8.88%11.31%1.64%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%mastodonth
275DarLam 2063 369$ 81.38$0.8916.06%$80.494.88%6.57%4.61%0.51%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%DarLam
297domino 1939 515$ 89.39$2.7617.11%$86.638.70%6.36%2.05%0.85%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%domino
304pawel12 1979 397$ 65.33$0.8112.88%$64.525.45%5.13%2.30%0.34%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%pawel12
319zuzic 2079 433$ 107.97$2.3820.94%$105.594.57%8.30%8.07%1.17%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%zuzic
325cissy 1909 396$ 47.84$0.489.46%$47.366.07%2.87%0.51%0.16%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%cissy
359Macsy 1883 295$ 16.44$0.033.28%$16.412.48%0.74%0.07%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Macsy
367Gigz 1846 439$ 47.07$0.659.27%$46.428.68%0.58%0.00%0.18%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Gigz
376smsorin 1921 453$ 67.45$1.2413.18%$66.217.71%4.41%1.06%0.42%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%smsorin
416bugzpodder 1876 471$ 61.74$1.2312.04%$60.5110.29%1.69%0.06%0.36%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%bugzpodder
440w_ 2152 436$ 136.43$3.5926.21%$132.844.13%8.63%13.45%1.99%0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%w_
632magicpig 1692 490$ 33.93$0.556.66%$33.386.66%0.00%0.00%0.10%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%magicpig