These odds are the result of monte carlo simulations of the 2005 TopCoder Open, using rating as a coder's mean performance, and volatility for standrad deviation.

Disclaimer: actual performance is not a standard normal distribution about rating with a standard deviation of volatility, which these simulations assume. Therefore, these odds are bogus, but fun nonetheless.

Set #1 - ratings not recomputed

Round 1 Odds
Round 2 Odds
Round 3 Odds
Round 4 Odds
Onsite Odds

Set #2 - ratings recomputed

After Qualifiers
After Round 1