jdmetz's GCJ 2005 Odds for Onsite

These predictions are the result of simulating the GCJ 10000000 times.

RankHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $51st to
100th
26th to
50th
11th to
25th
2nd to
10th
1st
1Petr3390280$6292.020.00%0.13%4.09%67.78%27.99%
2snewman2985415$4125.562.44%11.49%27.71%50.73%7.63%
3misof2896453$3735.345.35%15.92%28.93%43.35%6.45%
4ploh2856329$3464.031.85%14.71%38.57%42.95%1.91%
5reid2842593$3672.6312.66%17.55%23.63%36.10%10.06%
6John Dethridge2800410$3258.896.11%19.82%33.69%37.30%3.07%
7krijgertje2737503$3110.3212.76%21.68%28.32%32.69%4.56%
8marek.cygan2711441$2918.0910.79%23.73%32.11%30.80%2.57%
9dgarthur2710453$2930.0111.44%23.58%31.29%30.85%2.83%
10radeye2662261$2486.602.99%28.64%49.85%18.41%0.11%
11Yarin2657590$2945.8920.19%21.68%24.19%28.42%5.52%
12mathijs2650496$2761.3716.39%24.53%28.47%27.60%3.02%
13haha2645323$2489.526.95%29.89%41.54%21.25%0.37%
14kalinov2643640$2982.3822.72%20.65%22.35%27.62%6.66%
15AdrianKuegel2616339$2389.349.25%31.51%39.08%19.78%0.39%
16HilbertRaum2588416$2401.0215.47%29.63%32.31%21.57%1.03%
17venco2575312$2183.739.56%35.57%39.81%14.89%0.17%
18Per2553421$2282.9917.83%30.64%31.13%19.52%0.89%
19natori2552276$2033.088.22%39.60%41.44%10.69%0.05%
20overwise2546438$2288.5419.21%29.96%29.96%19.81%1.05%
21texel2538576$2512.0625.83%24.10%23.74%22.99%3.34%
22RalphFurmaniak2534350$2093.8014.63%35.68%34.81%14.62%0.26%
23gawry2489490$2194.1425.41%28.53%26.11%18.59%1.36%
24Jan_Kuipers2477479$2136.2325.72%29.29%26.26%17.57%1.15%
25Egor2471368$1909.6220.31%36.80%30.65%12.01%0.22%
26andrewzta2463388$1920.9322.14%35.46%29.40%12.71%0.30%
27kalmakka2462428$1993.1924.39%32.63%27.74%14.67%0.57%
28HardCoder2459385$1902.6022.28%35.80%29.31%12.34%0.28%
29nicka812456412$1944.3124.00%33.85%28.13%13.60%0.43%
30tmyklebu2446538$2154.7330.05%26.70%23.48%18.02%1.74%
31Ryan2434250$1564.3714.33%51.55%30.60%3.52%0.00%
32Andrew_Lazarev2426326$1686.3621.24%42.11%29.18%7.42%0.06%
33algostorm2421506$2021.6030.62%28.48%23.84%15.90%1.16%
34ante2397507$1954.8232.36%28.57%23.15%14.88%1.03%
35madking2379235$1373.7318.42%56.34%23.59%1.64%0.00%
36Im2Good2379343$1583.2426.72%41.08%25.63%6.51%0.06%
37lovro2333344$1464.7431.33%41.09%22.47%5.06%0.04%
38po2260275$1174.1336.65%47.60%14.58%1.17%0.00%
39martinp5342254236$1098.5735.50%52.73%11.33%0.43%0.00%
40fuwenjie2250385$1355.8441.37%35.93%18.06%4.58%0.06%
41Tomy2246286$1167.6538.99%45.48%14.24%1.28%0.00%
42liympanda2236475$1498.3144.17%29.65%18.11%7.78%0.29%
43malcin2227396$1330.6243.87%34.52%17.08%4.47%0.06%
44dmytro2225404$1341.7544.19%33.90%17.10%4.73%0.07%
45mickle2215406$1325.1845.19%33.54%16.64%4.56%0.07%
46battyone2211219$1006.6241.92%50.89%7.04%0.14%0.00%
47Jasko2209399$1301.0745.71%33.84%16.22%4.17%0.06%
48jdmetz2160474$1348.5650.54%28.25%15.29%5.74%0.18%
49doeth2146271$990.6752.99%39.39%7.28%0.35%0.00%
50tjq2129472$1290.2653.19%27.58%14.11%4.98%0.14%
51assembler2106240$909.8959.89%36.26%3.77%0.08%0.00%
52skanthak2103339$1033.0857.45%32.51%9.01%1.03%0.00%
53hauser2102469$1242.1655.48%26.94%13.11%4.35%0.11%
54Abednego2101482$1262.5755.43%26.40%13.30%4.72%0.14%
55qixin992095351$1041.0258.05%31.53%9.25%1.17%0.00%
56Psyho2091305$971.6459.74%32.99%6.79%0.48%0.00%
57Wernie2076382$1063.1059.35%29.29%9.74%1.61%0.01%
58abiczo2066427$1119.5659.35%27.22%10.85%2.55%0.04%
59zig22054310$939.6864.18%29.77%5.66%0.38%0.00%
60sjelkjd2046432$1101.1761.02%26.25%10.28%2.41%0.03%
61adic2045245$864.8468.92%28.67%2.37%0.04%0.00%
62HappyDude2034349$968.8764.83%27.65%6.80%0.72%0.00%
63cvoinescu2025299$901.6568.18%27.37%4.23%0.22%0.00%
64asaveljevs2014265$860.7871.70%25.73%2.50%0.06%0.00%
65timmac2004237$832.8675.22%23.42%1.35%0.02%0.00%
66WSX1999308$890.7070.67%25.19%3.93%0.21%0.00%
67bolu1985273$849.2074.66%23.06%2.23%0.06%0.00%
68visualage1983451$1053.9465.86%23.23%8.78%2.10%0.03%
69maze_pallas1975273$843.2075.83%22.07%2.05%0.05%0.00%
70bogklug1968314$874.1673.69%22.72%3.40%0.18%0.00%
71XuChuan1963469$1058.4366.83%22.15%8.69%2.28%0.04%
72sean_henderson1956361$913.4972.09%22.49%4.92%0.49%0.00%
73Larry1941427$978.9170.20%21.68%6.84%1.27%0.01%
74Sparrow1940284$832.7378.73%19.39%1.83%0.05%0.00%
75MikeMirzayanov1907432$955.1872.66%20.11%6.11%1.11%0.01%
76soul-net1880472$980.3572.90%18.94%6.60%1.53%0.03%
77chrbanx1867420$910.5676.30%18.18%4.79%0.72%0.01%
78Ulan1864391$879.7678.10%17.63%3.84%0.43%0.00%
79Matei1855381$865.4979.39%16.91%3.36%0.33%0.00%
80Krzysan1847361$844.6281.23%15.93%2.64%0.20%0.00%
81LuckyLibran1831447$913.9877.45%16.86%4.83%0.86%0.01%
82Jumping John1830431$897.3478.32%16.62%4.37%0.68%0.01%
83agh1821351$825.5983.75%14.12%2.00%0.12%0.00%
84Crush1816520$984.5175.06%16.71%6.37%1.81%0.05%
85goo1806310$796.0187.72%11.31%0.94%0.03%0.00%
86xs01765348$803.3287.58%11.05%1.31%0.07%0.00%
87zjq1745571$987.9377.07%14.72%6.07%2.07%0.08%
88centipede801737390$818.4986.49%11.47%1.88%0.16%0.00%
89oldbig1730537$939.8179.26%14.13%5.14%1.44%0.04%
90anikov1630213$751.7399.32%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%
91Dan[Popovici]1629319$765.3995.35%4.41%0.24%0.00%0.00%
92aditsu1614449$812.8989.11%8.89%1.78%0.22%0.00%
93SuperRaskao1597320$762.3696.19%3.63%0.18%0.00%0.00%
94binarius1596262$754.2298.44%1.53%0.02%0.00%0.00%
95Mg9H1593530$858.5286.11%10.18%3.02%0.68%0.01%
96unChabonSerio1554538$848.6087.32%9.30%2.75%0.62%0.01%
97polchawa1537612$898.8084.87%10.05%3.78%1.25%0.05%
98myprasanna1534525$832.7488.62%8.57%2.33%0.47%0.01%
99mrozik1368283$750.6999.74%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%
100Reyhot870628$762.4598.06%1.54%0.33%0.06%0.00%