jdmetz's GCJ 2005 Odds for Onsite

These predictions are the result of simulating the GCJ 10000000 times.

RankHandleRatingVolatilityExpected $51st to
100th
26th to
50th
11th to
25th
2nd to
10th
1st
1Petr3344284$6000.640.00%0.24%5.80%70.84%23.11%
2snewman2985415$4138.532.52%11.27%27.67%50.77%7.77%
3misof2896453$3746.795.50%15.59%28.95%43.40%6.56%
4reid2842593$3684.1012.87%17.16%23.65%36.15%10.17%
5ploh2823348$3324.823.11%17.16%38.19%39.58%1.96%
6kalinov2809552$3485.7512.39%18.44%25.57%35.82%7.78%
7John Dethridge2746423$3047.648.75%22.00%33.35%33.23%2.67%
8marek.cygan2739474$3086.0611.55%21.62%30.02%32.96%3.85%
9krijgertje2737503$3119.0813.02%21.24%28.36%32.76%4.62%
10dgarthur2710453$2940.2111.72%23.08%31.34%30.97%2.90%
11Yarin2657590$2953.5720.48%21.21%24.27%28.46%5.58%
12mathijs2650496$2770.0716.69%24.02%28.54%27.69%3.07%
13radeye2638277$2406.634.74%30.67%46.88%17.58%0.14%
14AdrianKuegel2632366$2502.6310.45%28.98%37.18%22.68%0.71%
15haha2594326$2290.459.82%32.89%39.62%17.40%0.27%
16HilbertRaum2588416$2408.7015.82%29.01%32.46%21.67%1.05%
17venco2575312$2192.089.88%34.91%40.00%15.04%0.17%
18Per2553421$2290.0918.22%29.99%31.24%19.64%0.90%
19overwise2546438$2294.7619.62%29.32%30.08%19.92%1.07%
20texel2538576$2519.2126.18%23.55%23.83%23.05%3.39%
21RalphFurmaniak2534350$2099.5015.06%34.98%34.98%14.71%0.27%
22gawry2533522$2402.9724.39%25.69%25.82%21.84%2.26%
23natori2508279$1878.8611.52%42.23%37.77%8.44%0.04%
24Jan_Kuipers2477479$2142.6126.16%28.62%26.38%17.67%1.17%
25Egor2473407$1994.4522.94%33.10%29.18%14.32%0.46%
26kalmakka2462428$2000.0724.83%31.91%27.88%14.79%0.58%
27Ryan2455269$1673.8814.76%46.85%33.03%5.35%0.01%
28nicka812449452$2004.7026.93%30.60%26.54%15.19%0.74%
29tmyklebu2442592$2254.0532.36%23.89%21.86%19.27%2.63%
30Andrew_Lazarev2426326$1692.0521.77%41.25%29.44%7.47%0.07%
31algostorm2421506$2025.3431.08%27.86%23.92%15.97%1.17%
32Im2Good2402372$1710.6226.78%37.18%26.85%9.05%0.14%
33ante2397507$1960.7032.79%27.93%23.26%14.96%1.06%
34madking2379235$1378.1519.10%55.29%23.95%1.66%0.00%
35HardCoder2350328$1480.9129.38%41.97%23.74%4.89%0.03%
36lovro2333344$1468.9831.98%40.15%22.71%5.12%0.04%
37andrewzta2311247$1232.3928.77%52.77%17.36%1.10%0.00%
38martinp5342299236$1186.4929.64%54.23%15.37%0.75%0.00%
39tjq2273380$1398.4239.55%35.97%19.38%5.03%0.06%
40po2260275$1176.6737.49%46.49%14.82%1.20%0.00%
41fuwenjie2250385$1358.9241.99%35.10%18.20%4.64%0.06%
42Tomy2246286$1168.7339.87%44.42%14.41%1.30%0.00%
43hauser2244384$1345.5542.58%35.01%17.88%4.47%0.05%
44jdmetz2241484$1529.9544.35%28.55%18.40%8.34%0.35%
45Abednego2239407$1378.0443.49%33.21%17.98%5.23%0.09%
46liympanda2236475$1500.9244.70%28.96%18.23%7.82%0.29%
47malcin2227396$1333.2344.48%33.73%17.21%4.52%0.06%
48dmytro2225404$1344.4844.79%33.10%17.26%4.77%0.07%
49mickle2215406$1328.7045.82%32.68%16.80%4.62%0.07%
50battyone2211219$1006.2043.02%49.64%7.19%0.15%0.00%
51Jasko2209399$1304.0746.36%32.97%16.39%4.22%0.06%
52sjelkjd2180342$1149.8749.13%35.89%13.07%1.90%0.01%
53doeth2146271$990.5553.89%38.36%7.39%0.36%0.00%
54assembler2106240$908.6960.88%35.20%3.85%0.08%0.00%
55skanthak2103339$1033.4058.16%31.67%9.13%1.04%0.00%
56Larry2099265$930.1060.93%33.87%5.02%0.18%0.00%
57Psyho2091305$971.3560.57%32.05%6.90%0.48%0.00%
58Wernie2076382$1063.5760.07%28.46%9.83%1.63%0.01%
59abiczo2066427$1120.7659.92%26.52%10.94%2.58%0.04%
60qixin992064380$1045.8661.28%27.96%9.28%1.48%0.01%
61bolu2059242$870.7368.02%29.33%2.60%0.05%0.00%
62zig22054310$939.7864.91%28.94%5.76%0.39%0.00%
63adic2045245$863.4669.83%27.70%2.42%0.04%0.00%
64cvoinescu2025299$900.8168.97%26.51%4.29%0.22%0.00%
65asaveljevs2014265$859.5472.53%24.86%2.55%0.06%0.00%
66HappyDude2010379$983.9566.67%25.01%7.30%1.01%0.01%
67timmac2004237$831.1876.07%22.53%1.38%0.02%0.00%
68WSX1999308$889.9871.41%24.38%3.99%0.22%0.00%
69visualage1983451$1054.6666.40%22.59%8.86%2.12%0.03%
70maze_pallas1975273$842.1776.54%21.32%2.09%0.06%0.00%
71bogklug1968314$873.6274.30%22.05%3.45%0.19%0.00%
72XuChuan1963469$1058.6467.34%21.57%8.75%2.29%0.04%
73sean_henderson1956361$913.6872.66%21.84%4.99%0.51%0.00%
74MikeMirzayanov1907432$955.5373.15%19.54%6.17%1.12%0.01%
75Krzysan1895384$893.1576.60%18.58%4.32%0.49%0.00%
76Sparrow1884287$808.8184.26%14.49%1.21%0.03%0.00%
77soul-net1880472$980.8273.35%18.42%6.65%1.55%0.03%
78Ulan1864391$879.9578.58%17.08%3.90%0.44%0.00%
79Matei1855381$865.2179.85%16.40%3.41%0.34%0.00%
80LuckyLibran1831447$914.3077.84%16.39%4.88%0.87%0.01%
81chrbanx1826458$922.4477.62%16.31%5.09%0.98%0.01%
82agh1821351$824.8484.23%13.63%2.02%0.13%0.00%
83Crush1816520$985.8175.44%16.25%6.43%1.84%0.05%
84goo1806310$795.2788.13%10.88%0.96%0.03%0.00%
85xs01765348$802.7487.96%10.65%1.32%0.07%0.00%
86Jumping John1763452$877.5081.83%13.77%3.77%0.63%0.01%
87polchawa1752502$918.1879.98%14.10%4.79%1.11%0.02%
88zjq1745571$988.9277.42%14.30%6.11%2.09%0.08%
89oldbig1730537$939.6279.62%13.74%5.16%1.45%0.04%
90SuperRaskao1672313$768.7994.47%5.21%0.31%0.01%0.00%
91anikov1630213$751.6099.37%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%
92Dan[Popovici]1629319$764.9995.54%4.21%0.24%0.01%0.00%
93centipede801628347$772.1894.16%5.36%0.46%0.02%0.00%
94aditsu1614449$812.7889.37%8.60%1.80%0.22%0.00%
95binarius1596262$753.9798.54%1.44%0.02%0.00%0.00%
96unChabonSerio1554538$848.7087.54%9.06%2.77%0.62%0.01%
97myprasanna1534525$832.6588.87%8.30%2.34%0.47%0.01%
98Mg9H1412439$769.4395.85%3.61%0.50%0.04%0.00%
99mrozik1368283$750.6599.76%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%
100Reyhot870628$762.4098.11%1.49%0.34%0.06%0.00%